OPFOR.ai

Clinical supply forecasting

Demand · Simulation · Distribution
For multi-year global trials

ALL DEPOTS NOMINAL

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Forecastthe trial.

OPFOR simulates demand across every arm, depot, and expiry, so supply teams plan trials, not fire drills.

Supply continuity99.72%
Countries served42
Longest live study6.3 yrs
Forecast horizon84 mo
01 / 05

Capabilities

Five instruments.
One forecasting engine.

001 Demand Forecasting Kit-level demand resolved per protocol, arm, and visit schedule, not per quarter, per patient-visit. ±0.4% / cohort
002 Scenario Simulation Enrollment curves, titration branches, and dropout rates simulated in thousands of Monte Carlo runs before first shipment. 10,000 runs / min
003 Depot & Distribution Global depot network planning with lane-level lead times, customs buffers, and cold-chain constraints built in. 42 countries
004 Expiry & Wastage Shelf-life-aware allocation that ships the right lot to the right depot. Overage cut without touching continuity. −38% wastage
005 Actuals Reforecast IRT reports transmit planned vs. actual data, modeling it into a continuously updated real-time forecast. 24 h cycle
02 / 05

Method

Three phases.
The timetable holds.

1

Configure

Encode the protocol: arms, visit schedules, titration logic, kit definitions, depot lanes. The trial becomes a formal supply model in days, not months.

Protocol → Model
2

Forecast

Simulate enrollment, dropout, and demand across thousands of scenarios. Output: a production and distribution plan with quantified confidence bands.

Model → Plan
3

Act

Live site telemetry drives daily reforecasts. Orders, transfers, and lot allocations adjust before deviation becomes disruption.

Plan → Supply
03 / 05

The lane atlas

Depot-to-site lanes,
surveyed to the hour.

99.72%
Supply continuity
42
Countries live
14
Regional depots
−38%
Overage eliminated
SOURCE: OPFOR LANE SURVEY, 2020–2026 · GREAT-CIRCLE KM, DOOR-TO-DOOR LEADMEAN LEAD DEVIATION ±2.1 H
04 / 05

Enrollment vs. coverage

Demand climbs. Supply
stays one step ahead.

Enrollment (patients)Supply coverage (kits staged)
MO — · ENR — · COV —
STUDY SAMP-201 · 36-MONTH WINDOW · COVERAGE FLOOR 1.12× DEMANDHOVER FOR CROSSHAIR
05 / 05 · Request a demo
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